Wisconsin vs Northern Illinois 9/17/2011

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Wisconsin is a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over Northern Illinois. Russell Wilson is averaging 164 passing yards and 1.55 TDs per simulation and Montee Ball is projected for 91 rushing yards and a 84% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Northern Illinois wins, Chandler Harnish averages 1.62 TD passes vs 0.27 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1 TDs to 0.32 interceptions. Chandler Harnish averages 112 rushing yards and 1.59 rushing TDs when Northern Illinois wins and 101 yards and 0.87 TDs in losses. Wisconsin has a 34% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NOILL +16 --- Over/Under line is 60

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